From The Morning Call:
President Barack Obama, who political experts say will need a win in Pennsylvania to retain the White House, dipped to 35 percent approval among the state’s registered voters, according to a Muhlenberg College poll released Friday…
…f there is any silver lining in the poll for Obama, it’s that 31 percent of Pennsylvanians say their vote in November 2012 will depend on who the Republican candidate is. And Obama still slightly edges out an anonymous GOP contender 36 percent to 31 percent…
If your “silver lining” is that you’re scoring 36% against a yet-to-be-determined opponent, then it is pretty tarnished silver.
To be sure, Pennsylvania is a pretty blue State – but it does have some red leanings, as shown by the election of rock-ribbed conservative Pat Toomey to the Senate. More than likely, Obama will be able to pull out the win in Pennsylvania – GOP hopes State-wide usually falter because of Philadelphia, which is completely under the control of the corrupt, Democrat machine and can usually be counted on to deliver the State for the Democrat (as I think they did in 2004 when the only place Kerry won decisively was Philadelphia, with Bush either carrying or being in a close tie in the rest of the State). But, that said, this polling shows that Obama will have to fight for the State – money and time will have to be spent there which Obama will desperately need elsewhere.
The way the electoral map is building up for 2012, Obama is going to be spread mighty thin and he’s going to have to thread quite a small needle to win. He still very much can do it…even if he loses the popular vote, he can cobble together 270 electoral votes…but only if Pennsylvania is in his pocket. The GOP should start planning to pour massive resources in to that State…even if we don’t win it, it will weaken Obama elsewhere and make our task easier.
HAT TIP: Hot Air
Hispanic-Americans are souring on the Obama presidency, according to a Gallup poll that shows just 49 percent of them approve of his job performance.
That’s a huge decline since spring of 2009, when Obama registered the 85 percent approval among Latinos…
And now you know why Obama enacted amnesty by decree…he’s trying to shore that up because you can just about bet on it that if Obama only wins 49% of the Latino vote in 2012 he’ll be defeated.
A new low of 26% of Americans approve of President Barack Obama’s handling of the economy, down 11 percentage points since Gallup last measured it in mid-May and well below his previous low of 35% in November 2010.
Fully 71% disapprove. And I would really like to meet someone who approves of Obama’s economic policies. I guess that number is proof that some people will never shift away once they decide to back a man.
Just wait until unemployment starts to tick upwards and economic activity goes completely flat, or even negative.
…The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds the generic Republican earning 48% of the vote, while the president picks up support from 42%. Four percent (4%) prefer some other candidate, and another seven percent (7%) are undecided…
Remember, fellow GOPers, I’m mostly linking to these kinds of posts to annoy and depress our liberals…don’t you get cocky: we’ve got one very hard fight coming up in 2012.
That is Obama’s approval rating – from the LA Times:
President Obama’s summer woes have dragged his approval rating to an all-time low, sinking below 40% for the first time in Gallup’s daily tracking poll.
New data posted Sunday shows that 39% of Americans approve of Obama’s job performance, while 54% disapprove. Both are the worst numbers of his presidency…
Not the sign of a man who is cruising to re-election. But, also, don’t get cocky, GOPers. Obama will have a billion dollars to spend and he’ll spend every dime of is slandering the GOP candidates. No lie will remain untold, no gutter unexplored, in Obama’s quest for a second term. So, be happy that people are fully awake to how bad Obama is, but don’t let down your guard for a second.
…Overall, 43% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the president’s performance. That’s the lowest total approval for the president in five months. Fifty-five percent (55%) at least somewhat disapprove…
Any incumbent below 50% approval in in trouble…incumbents below 45% are in lots of trouble. Obama can still win – in fact, we still have to give him the advantage given the amount of money he’ll raise and the immense powers of the Presidency. But he’s on thin ice…we can beat him; and beat him very badly.
The hits just keep on coming – from the New York Post:
President Obama might need to start taking a few more campaign trips to New York — and not just to raise cash.
A stunning new survey gives the president a negative approval rating in the Empire State for the first time, with just 45 percent approval and 49 percent disapproval among voters, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll.
That’s a sharp turnaround from June, when Obama’s New York popularity was a healthy 57-38.
In the 2008 presidential election, Obama carried New York with 63 percent of the vote…
Yes, I know Obama will win New York in 2008. Even if it turns out to be a Reagan-Carter blow out of Obama next year, Obama is almost certain to win New York…but the fact that he’s blow 50% in a State as deep blue as New York shows that he’s going to have to work to defend his electoral base…that he can’t take any State for granted. He’s going to have to spend time and money in places that he should have locked up before he even starts…and for the GOP comes the opportunity to spend just a little time and money in the blue States and force Obama to spend even more time and money there.
Obama can only win if he holds on to places like North Carolina, Florida and Colorado in 2012…if he’s battling it out for places like New York, Pennsylvania and Michigan, then he’s likely to be defeated next year. The only question here is whether or not Obama increasing political weakness will impel Democrats to abandon him…not in the sense of nominating someone else (though his weakness invites a primary challenger), but in the sense of writing him off and working, instead, to prevent the GOP from winning 60 Senate seats?
Naturally, things can change – it is a long way to election day. The trouble is, all indicators are that things will just get worse for America between now and then – and this is thanks to Obama. Caught in a vise of his own making…
From Zero Hedge:
We bring you this special announcement courtesy of the White House which has informed that American plebs that following a fantastic job well done, in which the market is now back to pre-QE2 levels, unemployment is near record highs, delays for presidential press meetings compare with Newark airplane take offs, pessimism is at record highs, America’s credit rating has just been downgraded, the country was nearly bankrupted, and sales of end of the world provisions are through the roof (not to mention ammunition), president Obama is taking a well-deserved vacation at Martha’s Vineyard at the end of the month…
This man Obama has a tin ear – he just can’t see what is going on. Or maybe he really doesn’t care. Memo to Obama’s handlers – now is not the time for the President to go playing with the rich and powerful. The White House is pretty swank…and Camp David is just a short helicopter ride away…going to Martha’s Vineyard is way of saying “so long, suckers” to the American people.
We will remember in November 2012.
From USA Today/Gallup:
…a majority of Americans, 51%, say President Obama doesn’t deserve re-election; 47% say he does…
Not a good sign for a man seeking re-election. And do click on the above link for a State-by-State breakdown of Obama’s approval rating. Here’s the important bits:
Obama’s approval is at 53% in California; 52% in Minnesota; 54% in Vermont…and only 54% in Illinois!
If the election were held today, Obama would be crushed…now, is it likely to get better, or worse, for him by November of next year?
Instapundit has a small round up of disappointment among liberals about Obama, and has this to say:
It’s as if, in some sort of national spasm of carelessness and self-deceit, we elected a guy entirely unqualified by experience or personal characteristics to the single most important office in the land, to serve during a period of unusual troubles that he was not equipped to address.
And now liberals are starting to realize that things aren’t getting better and that Obama will be their standard-bearer in 2012. They’ve already lost the House, lost massively at the State level and will probably lose the Senate next year…and Obama is the guy who will symbolize the whole party. This is not looking good for our liberals.
To be fair to Obama, a President McCain may have made a lot of mistakes, too. McCain might also have bought the siren song of government spending and money printing. But there is this difference we can see – McCain is a man of long experience in practical affairs and would have seen by the end of 2010 that it wasn’t working…that something different needed to be tried, and having a fund of conservative and libertarian beliefs, he would have opened his mind to those who proposed a different course. Obama can’t do that – he lacks the knowledge to see an alternative to the liberal worldview he imparted in college. It may well be that Obama has never read a single, conservative book; that he’s never listened to a conservative thinker; his whole idea of us might really be summed up in his “bitter clingers” remark…and you don’t go to “bitter clingers” in search for ideas. But where do you go, then, when your liberal ideas have failed?
This triumph of hope over experience we had in 2008 is now on auto-pilot. Incapable of changing course for lack of intellectual ability to see a different course, it is only concerned with the mechanics of re-election…give a speech, have a fund-raiser; lather, rinse, repeat. There will be no change until after the election – rumor has it that Bernanke might print up a bag of money to sustain the market (that is why it is up to much so early)…and so complete collapse might hold off for a while, perhaps even until after the election. So, this may be it – Obama is downgraded – from “Hope and Change” to “Prolonged Situation” and we get to keep our fingers crossed that nothing bad happens for 15 months, because we’ve got a President who is incapable of dealing with it.